Shakhter Karagandyvs
Aktobe Jas
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 5/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Shakhter Karagandy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aktobe Jas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 57.5-point power-rating edge (87.7 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.6% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shakhter Karagandy
Probability
89.6%
Model confidence
89.6%
Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40