GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 5/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Shakhter Karagandy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aktobe Jas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 57.5-point power-rating edge (87.7 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.6% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shakhter Karagandy

Probability

89.6%

Model confidence

89.6%

Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shakhter KaragandyWWWWL

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Aktobe JasDDLWD

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shakhter KaragandyAktobe Jas
94.4Attack53.7
87.0Defence0.0
90.7Form31.5
87.7Power30.2
4.50xG0.75
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