Shakhter Karagandyvs
Akademiya Ontustik
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 10/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shakhter Karagandy 2-0 Akademiya Ontustik
Original prediction
Shakhter Karagandy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 77.3% | 65.7% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 6.31 | 14.1% | 19.4% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 10.40 | 8.6% | 15.0% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Shakhter Karagandy
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
65.7%
Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80