Shakhtar Donetskvs
Zorya Luhansk
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhtar Donetsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 Zorya Luhansk, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shakhtar Donetsk 0-0 Zorya Luhansk
Original prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 66.1% | 66.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 20.3% | 20.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 6.77 | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Zorya Luhansk
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Shakhtar Donetsk
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20