GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shakhtar Donetsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Shakhtar Donetsk are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 6.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhtar Donetsk hold a 44.4-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Shakhtar Donetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk

Probability

55.5%

Model confidence

55.5%

Shakhtar Donetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shakhtar DonetskDWWDD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachLWWWW

GF 30 · GA 7 · avg 6.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Shakhtar DonetskSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
64.1Attack0.0
64.1Defence33.3
53.8Form0.0
59.7Power15.3
2.62xG0.90
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