Shakhtar Donetskvs
Polessya
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhtar Donetsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 Polessya, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shakhtar Donetsk 0-2 Polessya
Original prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 53.0% | 57.3% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.0% | 23.8% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.58 | 20.0% | 18.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Polessya
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Shakhtar Donetsk
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00