GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/14/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shakhtar Donetsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shakhtar Donetsk are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Panathinaikos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Panathinaikos hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Shakhtar Donetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

41.8%

Shakhtar Donetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shakhtar DonetskDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PanathinaikosDDLWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Shakhtar DonetskPanathinaikos
50.0Attack38.9
16.7Defence44.4
16.7Form22.2
31.3Power37.2
1.64xG1.31
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