Shakhtar Donetskvs
Marseille
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 2/15/2024, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marseille · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shakhtar Donetsk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Marseille are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Marseille hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Marseille holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Marseille
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Marseille has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20