Shakhtar Donetskvs
LNZ Cherkasy
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhtar Donetsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 LNZ Cherkasy, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 LNZ Cherkasy
Original prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 58.0% | 49.1% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.0% | 28.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.75 | 15.9% | 22.7% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Projected Score
Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 LNZ Cherkasy
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Shakhtar Donetsk
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Shakhtar Donetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40