Shakhtar Donetskvs
Ilves
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/10/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhtar Donetsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shakhtar Donetsk are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ilves are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhtar Donetsk hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 10.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Shakhtar Donetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shakhtar Donetsk
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00