GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/31/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beşiktaş · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shakhtar Donetsk are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Beşiktaş are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 53.2-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 84.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Beşiktaş holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beşiktaş

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shakhtar DonetskWDWDW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BeşiktaşLLLDW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Shakhtar DonetskBeşiktaş
50.0Attack41.7
16.7Defence100.0
16.7Form100.0
31.3Power84.6
1.09xG1.60
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