GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 5/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shahter Taganrog · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Shahter Taganrog are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lugansk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shahter Taganrog hold a 28.5-point power-rating edge (70.3 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.7% in the Second League - Group 1, while Shahter Taganrog holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shahter Taganrog

Probability

75.5%

Model confidence

16.7%

Shahter Taganrog has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shahter TaganrogWWWDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LuganskLWLDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Shahter TaganrogLugansk
63.2Attack33.3
70.2Defence50.0
73.7Form35.2
70.3Power41.8
2.21xG0.50
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