GGOALVIO

Iran · Azadegan League · 10/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Shahin Bandar Ameri 0-0 Mes Soongoun, with an exact score probability of 26%.

Prediction record

Final result

Shahin Bandar Ameri 2-3 Mes Soongoun

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5235.3%36.0%0.7 pts
Draw2.7732.1%33.6%1.5 pts
Away2.7332.6%30.3%-2.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.5 pts

Projected Score

Shahin Bandar Ameri 0–0 Mes Soongoun

Exact score probability: 26%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.6%

Model confidence

36.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shahin Bandar AmeriLWDDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mes SoongounWLDDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Shahin Bandar AmeriMes Soongoun
33.3Attack13.3
60.0Defence73.3
40.0Form33.3
46.1Power43.0
0.76xG0.63
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