Shabab Al Sahelvs
Tadamon Sour
COMPLETEDLebanon · Premier League · 10/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shabab Al Sahel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shabab Al Sahel 0-1 Tadamon Sour
Original prediction
Shabab Al Sahel
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 52.6% | 41.8% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.7% | 28.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 4.32 | 20.7% | 29.9% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Shabab Al Sahel
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Shabab Al Sahel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00