GGOALVIO

Jordan · League · 10/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shabab Al Ordon · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Shabab Al Ordon 0-3 Al Buqa'a

Original prediction

Shabab Al Ordon

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0943.5%42.6%-0.9 pts
Draw3.1528.8%28.1%-0.7 pts
Away3.2727.7%29.3%1.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Shabab Al Ordon

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Shabab Al Ordon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shabab Al OrdonDDDWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Al Buqa'aLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Shabab Al OrdonAl Buqa'a
55.6Attack11.1
44.4Defence55.6
33.3Form44.4
48.3Power40.1
1.44xG1.05
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