GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-0 Tractor Sazi

Original prediction

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7452.9%48.9%-4.0 pts
Draw3.5126.3%25.6%-0.7 pts
Away4.4420.8%25.4%4.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shabab Al Ahli DubaiDLWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tractor SaziLWDWW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Shabab Al Ahli DubaiTractor Sazi
83.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
54.2Power15.3
2.20xG1.27
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