Shabab Al Ahli Dubaivs
Al Nasr
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · League Cup · 10/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-1 Al Nasr
Original prediction
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.6% | 38.4% | -16.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.4% | 25.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.0% | 36.0% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20