GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 10/27/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Al Nasr are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.5% in the Pro League, while Shabab Al Ahli Dubai holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Probability

72.5%

Model confidence

72.5%

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shabab Al Ahli DubaiDWWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Al NasrWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAl Nasr
84.1Attack66.7
58.0Defence33.3
75.4Form33.3
71.9Power45.3
3.19xG1.15
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