Shabab Al Ahli Dubaivs
Al-Jazira
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 9/5/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-3 Al-Jazira
Original prediction
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.6% | 41.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.2% | 26.3% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 29.3% | 31.9% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80