GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 4/7/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Al-Jazira are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.3% in the Pro League, while Shabab Al Ahli Dubai holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Probability

72.3%

Model confidence

72.3%

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shabab Al Ahli DubaiDWWWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Al-JaziraLDLLW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAl-Jazira
84.1Attack64.0
58.0Defence38.7
75.4Form42.7
71.9Power49.2
3.62xG1.40
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