GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Presidents Cup · 10/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3-2 Al Ain

Original prediction

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6633.9%37.3%3.3 pts
Draw3.3726.8%28.0%1.3 pts
Away2.2939.3%34.7%-4.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shabab Al Ahli DubaiWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Al AinLWDLL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAl Ain
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.48xG1.26
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