GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 2/25/2024, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Ajman are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.8% in the Pro League, while Shabab Al Ahli Dubai holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Probability

63.8%

Model confidence

63.8%

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shabab Al Ahli DubaiLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AjmanDLWDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAjman
84.1Attack100.0
58.0Defence33.3
75.4Form100.0
71.9Power80.3
2.83xG1.34
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