Shaanxi Unionvs
Yanbian Longding
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shaanxi Union · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shaanxi Union 0-0 Yanbian Longding, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shaanxi Union 3-1 Yanbian Longding
Original prediction
Shaanxi Union
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 49.9% | 36.8% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.9% | 28.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.91 | 23.1% | 35.0% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.1 pts
Projected Score
Shaanxi Union 0–0 Yanbian Longding
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Shaanxi Union
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Shaanxi Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20