Shaanxi Unionvs
Suzhou Dongwu
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shaanxi Union · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shaanxi Union 1-0 Suzhou Dongwu, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shaanxi Union 2-2 Suzhou Dongwu
Original prediction
Shaanxi Union
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 57.8% | 57.0% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.1% | 24.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.92 | 18.2% | 18.6% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Projected Score
Shaanxi Union 1–0 Suzhou Dongwu
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Shaanxi Union
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Shaanxi Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60