GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/18/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Shaanxi Union are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nantong Zhiyun are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nantong Zhiyun hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.1% in the League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

23.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shaanxi UnionLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nantong ZhiyunWWDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shaanxi UnionNantong Zhiyun
50.0Attack41.2
68.5Defence74.5
48.1Form60.8
54.9Power60.6
0.80xG0.72
View match centre →