GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shaanxi Union · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Shaanxi Union are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hebei Kungfu are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shaanxi Union hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the League One, while Shaanxi Union holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shaanxi Union

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

Shaanxi Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shaanxi UnionLWLDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hebei KungfuWLDDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shaanxi UnionHebei Kungfu
50.0Attack22.2
68.5Defence59.3
48.1Form27.8
54.9Power39.4
1.37xG0.41
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