Shaanxi Unionvs
Dalian Huayi
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shaanxi Union · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shaanxi Union 3-0 Dalian Huayi
Original prediction
Shaanxi Union
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.6% | 53.1% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.0% | 24.5% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.5% | 22.4% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Shaanxi Union
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Shaanxi Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80