GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 8/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SGV Freiberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SGV Freiberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Eintracht Frankfurt II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SGV Freiberg hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Regionalliga - SudWest, while SGV Freiberg holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SGV Freiberg

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

SGV Freiberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SGV FreibergWWLWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Eintracht Frankfurt IIWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SGV FreibergEintracht Frankfurt II
53.9Attack59.8
62.7Defence54.9
57.8Form55.9
58.9Power56.3
1.60xG1.23
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