GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 8/19/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SGV Freiberg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SGV Freiberg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SGV Freiberg hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Regionalliga - SudWest, while SGV Freiberg holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SGV Freiberg

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

SGV Freiberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SGV FreibergLDWWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.WLDWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SGV FreibergBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
53.9Attack49.0
62.7Defence56.9
57.8Form50.0
58.9Power52.1
1.55xG1.00
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