GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Westfalen · 8/13/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Finnentrop / Bamenohl · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

SG Wattenscheid 09 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Finnentrop / Bamenohl are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Finnentrop / Bamenohl hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (38.6 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Oberliga - Westfalen, while Finnentrop / Bamenohl holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Finnentrop / Bamenohl

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Finnentrop / Bamenohl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SG Wattenscheid 09LDDWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Finnentrop / BamenohlLLLL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.75/3.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
SG Wattenscheid 09Finnentrop / Bamenohl
45.1Attack68.6
32.4Defence18.6
33.3Form43.1
38.6Power44.5
2.37xG2.66
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