SG Sonnenhof Grossaspachvs
Verl
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-1 Verl
Original prediction
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.2% | 44.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.5% | 25.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 33.3% | 30.9% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.84 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00