Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 12:42
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

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L
27
Full time
SV Darmstadt 98

SV Darmstadt 98

Away
WW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

SV Darmstadt 9833%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
33%
Draw
33%
SV Darmstadt 98
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
9
SV Darmstadt 98
99
Defence
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
27
SV Darmstadt 98
66
Momentum
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0
SV Darmstadt 98
100
Danger (xG)
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0.00
SV Darmstadt 98
4.05
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.23 xG for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and 2.85 xG for SV Darmstadt 98 — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with SV Darmstadt 98 holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 5.08 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 4 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach's Attack Score (9) vs SV Darmstadt 98's Defensive Stability (66) and SV Darmstadt 98's attack (99) vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach's defence (27) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (SV Darmstadt 98)
4.05
avg per match
xG against (SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (SV Darmstadt 98)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
L
SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 98
WWL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach33%
Draw33%
SV Darmstadt 9833%

SV Darmstadt 98 leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs SV Darmstadt 98: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach host SV Darmstadt 98 in Friendlies Clubs. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have recorded DWWWDL in recent matches while SV Darmstadt 98 arrive with a run of LDLWWW. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 9.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.23 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and 2.85 for SV Darmstadt 98. The gap of 0.62 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have been conceding 1.74 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

L
@ Stuttgarter Kickers
16 May 2026
02
SV Darmstadt 98

SV Darmstadt 98

W
@ FC Astoria Walldorf
17 Jul 2026
41
W
vs FC 08 Homburg
14 Jul 2026
51
L
vs SC Paderborn 07
17 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs SV Darmstadt 98?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs SV Darmstadt 98?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs SV Darmstadt 98?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs SV Darmstadt 98?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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