SG Sonnenhof Grossaspachvs
Preußen Münster
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Preußen Münster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3-2 Preußen Münster
Original prediction
Preußen Münster
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.1% | 32.7% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.5% | 22.3% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.4% | 45.1% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Preußen Münster
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Preußen Münster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20