SG Sonnenhof Grossaspachvs
Hoffenheim II
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/6/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoffenheim II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-0 Hoffenheim II
Original prediction
Hoffenheim II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.3% | 32.9% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 25.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.3% | 41.3% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Hoffenheim II
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Hoffenheim II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80