SG Sonnenhof Grossaspachvs
FC Ingolstadt 04
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0-2 FC Ingolstadt 04
Original prediction
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.3% | 37.6% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.6% | 27.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.0% | 35.4% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60