Sfera U20vs
Ituano U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sfera U20 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Sfera U20 2-0 Ituano U20, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sfera U20 5-2 Ituano U20
Original prediction
Sfera U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.4% | 72.2% | 24.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.0% | 16.8% | -9.2 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.7% | 11.0% | -15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
24.8 pts
Projected Score
Sfera U20 2–0 Ituano U20
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sfera U20
Probability
72.2%
Model confidence
72.2%
Sfera U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sfera U20DLWWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ituano U20LWLLL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Sfera U20Ituano U20
61.1Attack33.3
69.4Defence41.7
52.8Form30.6
58.7Power37.6
2.45xG0.53