Sfera U20vs
Gremio Prudente U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 8/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sfera U20 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sfera U20 1-1 Gremio Prudente U20
Original prediction
Sfera U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 47.8% | 69.8% | 22.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.0% | 17.8% | -8.2 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.2% | 12.4% | -13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Sfera U20
Probability
69.8%
Model confidence
69.8%
Sfera U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00