Sfax Railwaysvs
AS Gabes
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 2 · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sfax Railways · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sfax Railways 0-0 AS Gabes
Original prediction
Sfax Railways
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.8% | 42.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.1% | 29.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.1% | 27.7% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Sfax Railways
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Sfax Railways has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60