GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Niederrhein · 8/20/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Homberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

SF Hamborn are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Homberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Homberg hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (31.4 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.1% in the Oberliga - Niederrhein, while Homberg holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Homberg

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

66.1%

Homberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SF HambornLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.33/2.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
HombergDLWWD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SF HambornHomberg
35.4Attack52.5
23.2Defence56.6
26.3Form52.5
31.4Power54.4
0.95xG2.44
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