Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
SF Düren are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Porz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Porz hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (22.7 v 39.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Porz holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Porz
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Porz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 20 · avg 1.20/4.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20