Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pesch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
SF Düren are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 3.33 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Pesch are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pesch hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (22.7 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.4% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Pesch holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pesch
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
62.4%
Pesch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 3.33/2.67
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60