Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hennef 05 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
SF Düren are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hennef 05 hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (22.7 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Hennef 05 holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hennef 05
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Hennef 05 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80