Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
SF Düren are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Frechen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (22.7 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.7% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
85.7%
Model confidence
85.7%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60