Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bornheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
SF Düren are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Bornheim are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bornheim hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (22.7 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bornheim holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bornheim
Probability
70.2%
Model confidence
70.2%
Bornheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 16 · avg 2.40/3.20
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00