Seychellesvs
Sri Lanka
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seychelles · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Seychelles 0-0 Sri Lanka, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Seychelles 0-3 Sri Lanka
Original prediction
Seychelles
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 35.7% | 38.2% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 28.2% | 30.6% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 36.1% | 31.1% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Projected Score
Seychelles 0–0 Sri Lanka
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Seychelles
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Seychelles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SeychellesLDWLL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sri LankaWDLWW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SeychellesSri Lanka
16.7Attack9.5
83.3Defence71.4
50.0Form23.8
53.0Power37.2
1.02xG0.75