Sevilla Wvs
Barcelona W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/5/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sevilla W 0-4 Barcelona W
Original prediction
Barcelona W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 60.75 | 1.6% | 6.2% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 15.50 | 6.1% | 10.4% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.02 | 92.3% | 83.4% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–310%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona W
Probability
83.4%
Model confidence
83.4%
Barcelona W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
GF 18 · GA 2 · avg 3.60/0.40