SevillavsAtletico Madrid

Sevilla are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico Madrid are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevilla hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the La Liga, while Atletico Madrid holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.