Sevilla Atleticovs
Tenerife II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/25/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevilla Atletico · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sevilla Atletico 2-0 Tenerife II
Original prediction
Sevilla Atletico
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.4% | 42.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.1% | 24.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.5% | 32.9% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sevilla Atletico
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Sevilla Atletico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60