Sevilla Atleticovs
Sanluqueño
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/20/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevilla Atletico · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sevilla Atletico 1-0 Sanluqueño, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sevilla Atletico 2-2 Sanluqueño
Original prediction
Sevilla Atletico
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.0% | 48.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.5% | 28.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.4% | 23.0% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Projected Score
Sevilla Atletico 1–0 Sanluqueño
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Sevilla Atletico
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Sevilla Atletico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80