Sevilla Atleticovs
Marbella
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevilla Atletico · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sevilla Atletico 0-0 Marbella, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sevilla Atletico 3-0 Marbella
Original prediction
Sevilla Atletico
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.4% | 47.9% | 12.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 31.1% | 30.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 33.5% | 21.6% | -11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.5 pts
Projected Score
Sevilla Atletico 0–0 Marbella
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Sevilla Atletico
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Sevilla Atletico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60