GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 4/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sevastopol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sevastopol are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rostov II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 72.6 against 73.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Second League - Group 1, while Sevastopol holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sevastopol

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

14.5%

Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SevastopolWWWDW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rostov IIWDLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SevastopolRostov II
61.1Attack77.8
74.1Defence68.5
77.8Form75.9
72.6Power73.5
1.23xG1.08
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